Sunday, February 28, 2010

Spring rotations shaping up: C.C. vs. Doc Thursday

It’s too early to know for sure, but we’ll be getting some clues as to how teams will set their rotations for the regular season from what they do for their initial exhibition games. Those begin as early as Tuesday.
Some teams already have announced their Opening Day starter. In some cases, but probably not many, that pitcher also would be the first to pitch in exhibitions. We won’t really know for sure about some teams’ ace and rotation until mid-March, or maybe even March 20 in this season that begins later than in most recent years.
At that point, it would merely be an exercise in counting backwards five days at a time to find the likely starter for the opener.
Your team’s first regular-season game is scheduled for April 5? OK, five days back from that is March 31, another five days March 26 and another five would be March 21. So even if the manager is holding some suspense. You could figure that the March 21 starter would be the Opening Day pitcher. In spring training, off days on the major league team’s schedule don’t really count, because split-squad games, minor league games and even simulated games can allow two pitchers to go on the same day or a major leaguer starter to pitch when the rest of his team is off.
A couple of high-profile teams have announced their plans for the first few days of exhibition games, and set up a likely two-inning matchup between two pitchers that would be a battle of behemoths in October. In March, though, it’s just a time for Phillies RHP Roy “Doc” Halladay and Yankees LHP C.C. Sabathia to work up a sweat and maybe work on another pitch.
That will happen Thursday afternoon in Clearwater, Fla. Though both pitchers are prohibitive favorites to start on the real Opening Day, neither is starting his team’s first exhibition.
Philadelphia’s initial rotation goes like this: LHP A.J. Happ Wednesday night against Florida State, Sabathia Thursday, LHP Cole Hamels Friday vs. the Blue Jays in Dunedin, RHP Joe Blanton Saturday against the Pirates in Bradenton and Happ again Sunday against the Rays. That’s just four starters, but you can expect RHP Kyle Kendrick to fit into one of those games in relief before getting some starts himself, and for LHP Jamie Moyer to pitch when he’s physically able.
For the Yankees, RHP Chad Gaudin will start Wednesday’s opener against the Pirates, which isn’t a lot different from pitching against Florida State. After Sabathia Thursday, RHPs Phil Hughes and Joba Chamberlain will pitch Friday in some order against the Rays. On Saturday, RHP A.J. Burnett will start vs. the Blue Jays. Sunday’s pitchers will be Gaudin and RHP Sergio Mitre in some combination.
Sabathia, whose current throwing day was pushed back to Sunday because of bad weather today, and Burnett are the only givens in the equation from among those pitchers. LHP Andy Pettitte also will be in the rotation, but his first start isn’t scheduled until Friday, March 12, against the Nationals at Space Ghost Stadium in Viera.
For now at least, Hughes and Chamberlain will be pitching on the same day. The better pitcher would go into the rotation, with the other taking a bullpen role. There’s a similar battle among Gaudin, Mitre and RHP Alfredo Aceves for the fifth starter’s job. All three are scheduled to pitch Wednesday.
The White Sox also have named the starter for their exhibition opener against the Angels in Tempe, Ariz.: LHP John Danks.
What they’re working on:
Hamels and the Phillies believe that National League batters caught up with him because he had just two effective pitches, a fastball and a changeup. For that reason, he’s working on a curve and a cut fastball, with whichever one works better likely to expand his arsenal.
Cubs RHP Jeff Samardzija spent much of the off-season rising early for 6 a.m. workouts with RHP Ryan Dempster and LHP Tom Gorzelanny. He also has worked on adding a curve. Because he doesn’t come over the top, he won’t be throwing a curve that breaks much vertically but more of a slurve.
Pitching futures:
Rookie RHP Stephen Strasburg, the closest thing the Nationals have ever had to a rock star, threw 35 pitches in 12 minutes during a batting-practice session when his teammates didn’t swing a bat but merely stood in and tracked the pitches.
Lining up:
New Indians manager Manny Acta is planning to move CF Grady Sizemore from leadoff to second in the batting order, with SS Asdrubal Cabrera moving up from ninth to first. Behind them would be LF Shin-soo Choo and DH Travis Hafner. There could be a huge positive domino effect if Hafner could return to his production of 3-4 years ago. If he’s a threat, pitchers would have to throw more fastballs to Choo, which would benefit him. In fact, mark him down as a breakout possibility. Choo’s presence and a base-stealing threat from Cabrera, the only Cleveland player likely to steal many bases, would give Sizemore many more fastballs and help him improve last year’s woeful average. Cabrera would steal more bases and score more runs than in 2009 for our 5X5 friends.
Speaking of speed:
The Athletics are planning to run more this year, using the speed of OFs Rajai Davis and Coco Crisp (if he isn’t hurt again). Rickey Henderson is helping as a special instructor in spring training. That approach could have Billy Beane, who dissed the effectiveness of base stealing as the “Moneyball” GM, turning over in his box seat.
Position battle:
For the Cardinals, David Freese or Joe Mather could be the starting third baseman. If neither impresses, newly signed 2B Felipe Lopez also could be a possibility at third.
For Mark Prior fans, an injury report:
The Mets’ bullpen will be slow in developing. They sent RHP Francisco Rodriguez, their closer, home from workouts because they didn’t want him spreading his pink eye through the clubhouse. RHP Kelvim Escobar, whom they’re hoping could be their setup man even though he has pitched only once during the last two major league seasons, is having more shoulder problems and isn’t expected to be ready for Opening Day. That could leave RHPs Bobby Parnell, Sean Green, Fernando Nieve and 30-year-old rookie Ryota Igarashi battling for the setup job. The Mets also are negotiating with LHP Joe Beimel, who would seem to be a last resort.
Also, the New Yorkers were encouraged by LHP Oliver Perez in his first two throwing sessions. He’s back from surgery on his right knee. Best case, he could be the Mets’ number two starter. Worst case, he’d be the same inconsistent Oliver Perez who has frustrated his employers and fans.
Diamondbacks LF Conor Jackson missed most of last season because of a case of the Southwest’s own valley fever, seems on track to be productive after a successful winter season in the Dominican Republic.
Tigers 3B Brandon Inge had off-season surgery on both knees, which could slow him down in the field and curtail his style of diving after grounders.
C Rob Johnson has the Mariners’ starting job clearly in his sights. The question is whether he has healed from off-season operations on both hips and a broken right wrist to be able to withstand the demands of catching regularly. Behind him is only rookie prospect Adam Moore, who might not be ready for the majors this year.
All present and accounted for:
Infielders and outfielders for the Twins in Florida and the Brewers in Arizona had their first official workouts today, meaning that every player under contract to every team should be in camp.
Bring on the games!

Saturday, February 27, 2010

Call him Crash

Rookie OF Jason Heyward continues to make news of the kind we see only before exhibition games begin.
He has hit so many balls over the right field fence at the Disney complex that the team is putting a net over that fence to protect cars in the parking lot. The impetus for the net was a shot by Heyward that crashed through the sunroof of an Atlanta executive’s car.
We’ll be more impressed if the Braves have to build a net over a fence at Turner Field. But if Heyward pans out as the Braves hope he will in time, if not this season, this story would become legend.
Injuries, a paean to Mark Prior:
Phillies RHP Brad Lidge figures he is a week or two behind where he normally would be, which means he could begin the season on the 15-day disabled list coming off elbow and knee surgeries. LHP Jamie Moyer had three off-season operations. He threw his first live batting practice Thursday.
Mets OF Jeff Francoeur, who underwent surgery on his left thumb, said he believes it has passed the test of taking repeated swings in batting practice.
Rangers LF Josh Hamilton returned to practice Friday, two days after suffering a bruised left shoulder. RHP Warner Madrigal is Texas’ newest player on the walking wounded list. He cut short his throwing session today because of tightness in his forearm.
Cubs RHP Angel Guzman hasn’t been pitching because of a sore shoulder.
Giants 2B Freddy Sanchez, recovering from off-season surgery, could begin fielding grounders this weekend.
Yankees CF Curtis Granderson had his vision tested during the off-season. That revealed that his vision was 20-30. He since has put on contact lenses, which he hopes will help him hit lefthanders better. Make a note to yourself to check how he does against good southpaws in exhibition games.
For openers:
There’s nothing official, but it appears that LHP Clayton Kershaw will be the Dodgers’ Opening Day starter and RHP Carlos Zambrano would pitch the Cubs’ first game.
The Los Angeles Daily News reported that Kershaw would receive the honor, but manager Joe Torre wouldn’t confirm that. Torre said the rotation for the first five exhibitions, beginning Friday, March 5, would be RHP Vicente Padilla, LHPs Eric Stults and Kershaw and RHPs Chad Billingsley and Hiroki Kuroda. Stults is among a large group fighting for the fifth starter’s role with James McDonald, Charlie Haeger, Carlos Monasterios, Russ Ortiz, Ramon Ortiz and Josh Towers. McDonald and perhaps Haeger would seem to be the other top candidates.
Cubs manager Lou Piniella said he expects Zambrano to start the opener, but hasn’t yet committed to him.
Rotate:
At least while LHP Ted Lilly recovers from shoulder and knee surgery, which could keep him out all of April, the Cubs will have two openings in their rotation. The candidates for numbers four and five are RHPs Jeff Samardzija and Carlos Silva and LHPs Sean Marshall and Tom Gorzelanny, which should have Chicago fans sending Lilly get-well-soon cards.
The Brewers also have two openings in their rotation, with much better options. LHP Randy Wolf and Doug Davis (why?) and RHP Yovani Gallardo are set, with RHPs Jeff Suppan and David Bush and LHPs Manny Parra and Chris Narveson trying to work their way into the rotation.
Reporting:
All but two teams will have their entire roster working out as of today. Hitters from the Blue Jays and Nationals will have their position players hitting, throwing and fielding for the first time in Florida, and the White Sox, Indians, Athletics, Rockies and Dodgers doing the same in Arizona.
News and notes:
The Red Sox might move 2B Dustin Pedroia from second in their lineup to fifth, to give him more opportunities to drive in runs. RF J.D. Drew or SS Marco Scutaro could move into the two hole.
The Cardinals and free-agent 2B Felipe Lopez have agreed on a one-year, $2-million contract, pending his passing a physical exam.

A look at some possible award winners

On Wednesday, we told you that White Sox LF Carlos Quentin is a strong candidate to be the American League Comeback Player of the Year.
A National League counterpart made his case today. Spring training reports that don’t involve new injuries are almost all rosy. That was the case with news of Diamondbacks RHP Brandon Webb’s first 45 pitches of 2010, but it isn’t difficult to envision him returning close to 20-win form.
Webb also could be an NL Cy Young Award candidate again. Two other pitchers who threw today also are likely to be contenders.
RHP Roy Halladay went from the AL’s Blue Jays to the Phillies. The biggest obstacle to his winning the award should be moving into a more hitter-friendly home park.
Marlins RHP Josh Johnson has made great leaps forward in each of the last two seasons. He threw 30 pitches, almost one for each of the 39 million dollars on his new four-year contract. His team isn’t bad, and its park doesn’t unnecessarily punish pitchers. For Johnson, the key is avoiding injuries.
Here’s how spring training is progressing. Even though not everybody has been required to report yet, there’s already talk about the opening exhibition games. Though Florida is likely to have Johnson start the regular-season opener, the Marlins will use RHP Ricky Nolasco in their first exhibition game Wednesday against the University of Miami. Other teams will open spring play Tuesday.
What they’re working on:
Some of the most important bits of information coming out of spring training are those that tell us what players are working on to improve. We’ve found that the best prospects are those who know their weaknesses and work to eliminate them.
Rockies LHP Jorge De La Rosa was one of the top recommendations in last year’s “Pitchers to seek and to avoid.” We recommended seeking him when his record was 0-6. De La Rosa went 16-3 over the remainder of the season. This spring he’s working on holding runners and his fielding; he made five errors in 2009.
Reds CF Drew Stubbs wants to draw more walks to allow himself to stay near the top of their lineup and become a more dangerous offensive threat. He was striking out about twice as often as he had walked at Triple-A Louisville before Cincinnati promoted him to the majors. That ratio ballooned to about 3:1 in the National League.
White Sox SS Alexei Ramirez is working with his new backup, 42-year-old Omar Vizquel, to improve his defense. Chicago is hoping Vizquel can ease Ramirez’s road to playing the position effectively the way he did for SS Elvis Andrus last year in Texas.
1B/OF Adam Dunn, expected to be a full-time first baseman this year for the Nationals, has been working on his footwork with coaches Tim Foli and Pat Listach, who were shortstops during their playing careers. Washington needs to improve a defense that led the majors with 143 errors last season. Dunn is in a contract year. Expect the usual 40 homers and a bit more from him.
Contract years:
It isn’t totally a contract year for Astros 1B Lance Berkman, but he’d have to have an incredible year to get Houston to pick up its $15-million option on his contract. Berkman will want to do well anyway to come up with what’s likely to be his last big contract.
Except for the fact that he didn’t come from another organization, RHP Jeremy Bonderman has been almost like the Tigers’ version of Carl Pavano since signing a four-year, $38-million contract. Three years and just 14 wins since, Bonderman is entering a contract year. He’s slated to begin the season as Detroit’s fourth starter, in part because he’ll have to serve a three-game suspension for throwing at Twins OF Delmon Young.
Position battle:
Cubs 2B Mike Fontenot, who lost the job by playing poorly last season, is back in the hunt at the position with 2B/3B Jeff Baker. Fontenot also could play some at shortstop, but manager Lou Piniella said that if starting SS Ryan Theriot had to miss significant time, the team would promote SS Starlin Castro from the minors. At this point, you couldn’t expect Castro to have fantasy value because he would be far from major league-ready as a hitter. But he could be a good addition to a reserve roster.
Reporting:
Most teams have had all of their players working out already. Jointing that group today will be the batters for the Mets in Florida and the Padres in Arizona.
News/notes:
Tales of Texas Rangers:
The Rangers voided SS/3B Khalil Greene’s contract before he made it to spring training, apparently because his anxiety problems have resurfaced. His absence could reopen the door for Texas to acquire 3B Mike Lowell from the Red Sox as a righthanded-hitting first baseman and DH. A trade that would have sent him and $9 million to pay most of his salary was scuttled because Lowell’s wrist wouldn’t pass a physical exam. That deal would have sent hard-hitting C/1B Max Ramirez to Boston.
Texas LF Josh Hamilton missed today’s workout because of the bruised left shoulder he suffered Wednesday. The team still isn’t sure when he’d return to action.
Rookie RHP Omar Poveda will seek a second opinion from Dr. Lewis Yocum before agreeing to undergo Tommy John surgery on his elbow.
The Rangers hope LHP Derek Holland (sprained knee) will be able to throw off a mound again this weekend.
C Jarrod Saltamacchia, who underwent shoulder surgery last year after he’d had difficulty throwing the ball back to the pitcher, reportedly has been throwing well in Arizona.
Free-agent 1B Hank Blalock, who has played his entire major league career with Texas, has received interest from the Marlins, who would use him as a left-handed batter off the bench, and the Rays.
Weighty issues:
We’ve talked about Rockies RHP Aaron Cook and Rangers LHP Matt Harrison, who have lost weight since last season, and Dodgers C Russell Martin, who had put on pounds in an effort to increase his power. Athletics OF Jack Cust lost 15 pounds during this season, but has gained it back to get back up to what he considers his playing weight: 240.
News and notes:
The Diamondbacks are negotiating multiyear contracts with 3B Mark Reynolds and RF Justin Upton to avoid some arbitration years, and could do the same with C Miguel Montero.
The Mariners have been working 2B Jose Lopez at third base and 3B Chone Figgins at second. They’re not satisfied with Lopez’s defense, specifically his range, but switching their positions still appears to be a longshot. Figgins would have higher relative value if he were eligible as a middle infielder.
The Red Sox might consider reducing the workload on RHP Manny Delcarmen, who is 10th in the majors with 181 games pitched over the last three years. That could help prevent the shoulder fatigue that reduced his fastball’s speed to low-90s mph.
Astros 1B Aaron Boone has retired.

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Chapman shines vs. less shiny players

The Reds continue to trumpet rookie LHP Aroldis Chapman’s development and potential. He has been impressive, but keep in mind that he really hasn’t done anything against anybody yet.
He should be good, is likely to be in Cincinnati’s rotation at some point this season; his six-year, $30.25-million contract almost forces the Reds to promote him. But don’t overbid on him thinking he’ll win a Cy Young Award or immediate induction into the Hall of Fame.
Chapman pitched batting practice against “major league” batters for the first time. But keep in mind that those major leaguers were Chris Burke, Chris Heisey, Chris Valaika, Yonder Alonso and Corky Miller. That’s a bunch of middle infielders, a journeyman catcher – and at least a legitimate hitting prospect in 1B Alonso.
On the plus side, after catching Chapman, C Wilkin Castillo said the Cuban defector’s fastball reached 98 or 99 mph and his slider was between 85 and 88. The batters said they were most impressed by Chapman’s slider and a changeup he has been working on since arriving in the Goodyear, Ariz., camp.
Certainly you should watch what the lefty does during March, but until he begins getting out or dominating major league lineups late in the month, don’t go writing his name in ink as a high-round draft pick or high-dollar auction choice.

OOO Another rookie wowing people in camp – and this is batting practice, people – has been Braves OF Jason Heyward. There clearly is room for him in Atlanta’s outfield, but again wait until he sees a steady diet of major league pitchers before jumping in with both feet on Heyward.
OOO Speaking of phenoms, better get your tickets quickly for the Nationals’ March 9 game at Space Ghost Stadium in Viera, Fla. That’s when RHP Steven Strasburg is scheduled to make his first exhibition appearance, pitching two innings or 30-40 pitches. That probably will be the most difficult Washington ticket until Strasburg leads the Nats into the World Series.
Injuries:
Rangers LF Josh Hamilton left his first day of workouts because of a bruised left (throwing) shoulder suffered when he dove for a popup. He’s being considered day-to-day, but keep in mind his growing injury case file. If he couldn’t play for a while, DH Vladimir Guerrero is hoping to play some outfield, but Texas pitchers wouldn’t like it if he has to play a lot in the field. Rookie RHP Omar Poveda will undergo Tommy John surgery and miss this season.
Speaking of injury histories, the word from the Red Sox camp is that RF J.D. Drew should be able to play more this season after undergoing surgery to remove bone spurs from the AC joint in his left shoulder. Betting on more playing time for J.D. is always a risky proposition.
Tigers RHP Joel Zumaya is back throwing fastballs after having a bone shard removed from his shoulder during the off-season.
Mariners LHP Cliff Lee, who underwent surgery to remove bone spurs from a foot, made his first spring appearance. He threw 45 pitches during 10 minutes in the bullpen.
RHP Brandon Lyon, expected to battle RHP Matt Lindstrom to become the Astros’ closer in 2010, is behind in his development after having a cyst drained in his shoulder last week.
2B Nick Punto, who underwent off-season wrist surgery, could share some time at third base with Brendan Harris.
Looking for a Comeback of the Year candidate? How about White Sox OF Carlos Quentin, recovering from plantar fasciitis in his left foot that limited his availability last season. In fact, the Sox as a team seem primed for a comeback.
Lining up:
Angels manager Mike Scioscia is planning to go with a top of the lineup that would go like this: SS Erick Aybar or 3B Maicer Izturis, RF Bobby Abreu, CF Torii Hunter, DH Hideki Matsui, 1B Kendry Morales, LF Juan Rivera and 2B Howie Kendrick. That’s a good lineup even without Guerrero.
The very top of the Tigers’ lineup is likely to have rookie CF Austin Jackson followed by LF Johnny Damon. Manager Jim Leyland said Damon would play in the outfield with Carlos Guillen as DH. What does that say about Guillen’s defensive ability? It’s also possible that Damon could lead off.
The Royals are planning to go with an outfield, left to right of Scott Podsednik, Rick Ankiel and David DeJesus, with DH Jose Guillen also a possibility to play in right field. Sure sounds like a pennant-winning combination, doesn’t it?
For openers:
Manager Ron Gardenhire has named RHP Scott Baker the Twins’ Opening Day starter.
Reporting:
Seven teams’ batters began workouts today. In addition to the Rangers’ possibly ill-fated opening, the Diamondbacks began to swing bats in Arizona, and the Red Sox, Yankees, Rays, Marlins and Astros in Florida.
On the run:
Padres manager Bud Black said he wanted his team to be more aggressive on the bases and to try stealing more bases. That should mean slightly greater fantasy value for SS Everth Cabrera, but only slightly because virtually all of his value comes from steals.
Raining:
The rain that curtailed some activity in the Arizona camps has made its way to Florida. The back fields in Lakeland, Fla., were so soaked that the Tigers moved their batting practice in to Joker Marchant Stadium.
Growing:
Dodgers C Russell Martin has gained 25 pounds. Reports say that it’s not flab; Martin is in better shape. Let’s hope it’s not Mickey Tettleton muscle that he has gained.
HGH in the news:
First came the word that baseball will begin testing minor leaguers for the use of human growth hormone. My reaction was that until there’s HGH testing in the majors, the move in the minors means little except that scouts and teams now can more properly evaluate prospects on their own merits without the influence of outside performance-enhancing influences.
Then came a statement from the MLB Players’ Association saying that it was open to HGH testing for its members. That bold statement was watered down because the union also said accepting such testing would happen “if the blood test is scientifically validated.” That leaves wiggle room, but at least it’s a step in the right direction.
Today’s gossip:
Joining Yankees 3B Alex Rodriguez in the tabloids is Dodgers CF Matt Kemp. His celebrity relationship is with singer Rihanna. As usual, Dodgers manager Joe Torre took the baseball media attention on Kemp’s outside life in stride. He pointed out that when he managed the Yankees when SS Derek Jeter’s name started popping up on Page Six (cough, Minka Kelly), spoke with Jeter and was satisfied because the current captain “assured me his priorities were in order, and they were.”

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

More aches and pains

It can’t be good news for the Red Sox that RHP Daisuke Matsuzaka’s first scheduled throwing session has been pushed back a week. He’s sidelined by a back injury.
The Reds put RHP Edinson Volquez on the 60-day disabled list while he recovers from reconstructive elbow surgery. Meanwhile, 1B Joey Votto said he is making progress in overcoming anxiety and depression that put him on the disabled list last season.
Rangers LHP Derek Holland’s knee injury has been diagnosed as a mild sprain.
Orioles 2B Brian Roberts’ back injury has been diagnosed as a herniated disk.
Twins RHP Joe Nathan said he would be following his normal spring workout schedule even though he underwent off-season surgery to remove bone spurs from his elbow.
Position battles:
The Yankees haven’t handed their left field job to Randy Winn. Brett Gardner and non-roster invitee Marcus Thames also are in the mix. Currently, the fifth starter’s job would come down to RHPs Philip Hughes and Joba Chamberlain. As well as Hughes pitched in relief last season, our money would have him in the rotation and the big guy in the bullpen.
The Phillies are good enough that their fifth starter could have some value. Going into the exhibition games, the competition is between LHP Jamie Moyer, who’s too old for you to count on him for your fantasy team, and RHP Kyle Kendrick, who hasn’t proved he could be successful in the majors. If Philadelphia makes a deal for even a journeyman veteran, expect that he could bring more value than a number three starter on a weak team.
The Athletics are hardly strong, but their pitchers have two benefits: 1. Working in a good pitchers’ park and 2. Being young enough to have an upside. That doesn’t mean their fifth starter could have great value, but there are many pitchers in the majors without the talent and potential of Oakland’s candidates: RHPs Trevor Cahill and Vin Mazzaro and LHP Gio Gonzalez. It’s quite possible that two or even all three of them could end up in the rotation, because RHPs Justin Duchscherer and Ben Sheets would have to show they could come back successfully from an injury-imposed year off.
Duchscherer underwent a manipulative procedure to relieve discomfort in his lower back. The A’s said Sheets is scheduled to make his exhibition debut March 5 against the Brewers.
It shouldn’t matter who will be the Pirates’ fifth starter between RHPs Kevin Hart and my homeboy Daniel McCutchen. Pittsburgh will need just four starters for much of April, and even after that the team is hardly good enough to win games behind its top-of-rotation starters. Hart seems likely to get the first shot at the job because the Pirates would like to prove that he is better than the 1-8 record he posted for the Bucs. That would reduce the embarrassment of the bad trade that brought Hart from the Cubs.
RHP Chan Ho Park isn’t likely to be a starter in the majors this year. However, he told Korean media that he would sign a free-agent contract with the Yankees, but the team said a deal hadn’t been reached.
The crack of the bat:
Today, the last team (Cleveland) opened workouts for its pitchers and catchers. Some of those pitchers threw to real batters, because 12 teams brought their position players on to the field for their first workouts. Those teams were the Orioles, Tigers, Braves, Phillies, Pirates and Cardinals in Florida, and the Royals, Angels, Mariners, Cubs, Reds and Giants in Arizona.
One of the greatest:
Willie Mays has been showing up on various TV interview shows, because there’s a new Mays biography out. Two of the interviews were with Charlie Rose and Jon Stewart. Both very interesting, in part because Willie seemed more eloquent and thoughtful, and probably patient, than he was as a player. Made me want to get the book. I couldn’t find the Stewart interview at YouTube or the Comedy Central web site.

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Outfielders in the news

The early days of spring training are a time when every team feels like a contender – well, maybe not the Pirates and Royals.
Also, every injured player is optimistic that he’ll be able to play by Opening Day or, for anyone with an injury less serious than Tommy John surgery or an amputated limb, that he’ll be ready by the All-Star break.
That includes OFs Carlos Beltran, Alfonso Soriano and Torii Hunter, all of whom can be difference-makers for their team. That’s true, except that even Beltran at his best at bat and in center field might not be able to make a difference in the Mets.
Beltran isn’t expected back until early May. He’s five weeks removed from surgery to remove fragments of bone and cartilage from his right knee.
Soriano spent the winter in the Dominican Republic rehabbing from arthroscopic surgery on his left knee. The Cubs’ left fielder said he isn’t yet running at full speed but added that he should be 100 per cent by Opening Day. Naturally.
Hunter could be the biggest difference-maker. He’s coming back from arthroscopic surgery to repair a sports hernia that curtailed his best season – a .299 average, 22 homers and 90 RBI. He’ll also bring nine Gold Gloves to center field for the Angels.
Another outfielder, Johnny Damon, wasn’t hurt but was in limbo until he and the Tigers officially agreed today on a one-year, $8-million contract to be their left fielder or DH.
Injury updates:
Phillies RHP Brad Lidge, coming back from elbow and knee surgeries, threw 20 pitches off a mound. He said he doesn’t feel he can be ready for Opening Day. Philadelphia fans hope that at least before the All-Star break he will no longer be giving up damaging homers. LHP J.C. Romero, who also had elbow surgery, is scheduled to throw off a mound Saturday.
In Scottsdale, Ariz., where it rained for the third consecutive day, new 3B Mark DeRosa arrived a day early for his first batting practice, in a cage, following off-season surgery on his left wrist. 2B Freddy Sanchez, returning from left shoulder and left knee injuries, hasn’t yet hit but he has played catch and done some agility drills and running.
Cardinals SS Brendan Ryan, a big surprise last season, is just two weeks removed from arthroscopic surgery to repair an inflamed tendon in his right wrist. Of course, he said he expected to be rady for Opening Day. Helping his quest could be the fact that St. Louis’ first game isn’t until the season’s second day, April 5 at Cincinnati.
The saddest story is that of Khalil Greene. He was trying to return to the majors this year with the Rangers, but they have announced that he won’t join them at spring training or play for the team this season. Apparently, the anxiety problems that plagued him last season have returned.
For openers:
White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen got on the early bandwagon of naming an Opening Day starter. LHP Mark Buehrle would start his Sox-record eighth opener – breaking a tie with Billy Pierce, an all-but-forgotten ace lefty from the ‘50s and ‘60s. Guillen chose Buehrle over RHP Jake Peavy, who would start the second game.
In another pitching announcement, Orioles manager Dave Trembley said LHP Mike Gonzalez would be Baltimore’s closer.
Gossip:
Getting even as far tonight as “Chelsea Lately,” a show with little sports IQ, is the rumor that Yankees 3B Alex Rodriguez hooked up with Cameron Diaz in Miami while they were there for the Super Bowl. There also have been Madonna sightings in A-Rod’s vicinity recently.

Sunday, February 21, 2010

Khalil Greene having problems again

Jamey Newberg of the Newberg Report pointed out a report from Fox Sports' Ken Rosenthal saying that SS/3B Khalil Greene will not report with the Rangers' other position players and "could miss significant time" this season. The reason appears to be related to the anxiety issues that cost Greene playing time last season. don't

We don't mean to make light of Greene's problems, which are serious. We will say that this Greene's presence or absence shouldn't make much difference to fantasy owners. His performance on the field makes him no longer a viable fantasy choice, which probably hasn't helped him overcome his anxiety either.

Giants sign 2 veteran pitchers

There's still time for major league teams to sign potentially helpful free agents. The Giants have done just that, signing RHPs Todd Wellemeyer and Guillermo Mota. Wellemeyer had a good season as a starter for the Cardinals in 2008, but pretty much hurt them last season. Mota's career as a reliever has gone south during his time with the Dodgers.

So Wellemeyer seems like the better bet to help San Francisco in a starting or bullpen role. Mota has more talent, but is older and more damaged goods.

Injuries: The Athletics can't be very happy about the first day of workouts for their pitchers. First, they found out that oft-injured RHP Justin Duchscherer couldn't take part because of an irritated sacroiliac joint in his back. Then, 10 minutes into the workout they had to move inside because of rain.

In Arizona? Yes, it has rained the last two days in the desert. The Mariners also had to call off a planned series of pitchers' fielding practice drills. So if Seattle loses a game or two this year because a pitcher doesn't get over to cover first base in time, remember that the game was lost on February 21.

But hey! There was some good news for Oakland. RHP Ben Sheets actually threw today, and as far as we know without being injured again.

OOO The Blue Jays placed RHP Dirk Hayhurst on the 60-day disabled list. He underwent surgery two weeks ago to repair a frayed labrum in his shoulder, and is expected to miss 4-6 months.

OOO Cardinals 1B Albert Pujols said he won't need Tommy John surgery on his right elbow. He underwent an operation in October to remove bone chips from the joint. Expect opposing runners to take chances for an extra base against Pujols unless he shows he can throw somebody out.

OOO Another first baseman, free agent Carlos Delgado underwent surgery by Dr. Marc Phillippon, who worked on Yankees 3B Alex Rodriguez a year ago. Dr. Phillippon performed microfracture surgery on Delgado's right hip and reconstructive surgery on the labrum. It saddens me to write that one of baseball's good guys may be finished.

An Opening Day starter already:

Diamondbacks manager A.J. Hinch said RHP Dan Haren will be Arizona's Opening Day starting pitcher. The current plan is to have RHP Edwin Jackson start the second game and RHP Brandon Webb making his first appearance since the 2009 opener in game three. We expect that will change if Webb is physically able to pitch, with him moving ahead of Jackson -- way ahead of a pitcher we expect to be a major disappointment.

Lining up:

With CF Carlos Beltran expected to miss most or all of April following knee surgery, Mets manager Jerry Manuel is giving serious thought to opening the season with SS Jose Reyes batting third and OF Angel Pagan leading off. Pagan will battle Gary Matthews for the starting job in center field, and would be likely to play left field if Matthews wins that competition.

Rays manager Joe Maddon said his starting lineup will begin with SS Jason Bartlett, LF Carl Crawford, Ben Zobrist at second base or in right field, 3B Evan Longoria and 1B Carlos Pena.

Saturday, February 20, 2010

Here's what's going on where it's warm

Moves and lack of same:

Free-agent LF Johnny Damon apparently held out long enough to get $8 million on a one-year contract from the Tigers. ESPN reported today that the deal was done. He and agent Scott Boras had sought a two-year deal, but Detroit reportedly added a million to its offer, and that was enough. Damon is hardly a beggar, but it seemed hard to believe that he would be such a chooser.

The Indians have agreed to terms with 1B Russell Branyan, a lefthanded batter who is expected to be in at least a platoon role with 1B/OF Matt LaPorta. After 1B Ryan Garko went to the Giants last year, Cleveland's most frequent firstbaseman was fraudulent 1B/3B Andy Marte. LaPorta is recovering from surgery on both his left hip and left bit toe, so Branyan could see lots of action with his past and present team.

The last viable free-agent catchers apparently have signed. Jose Molina is going to Toronto, where he'd replace C Rod Barajas, another free agent. Barajas reportedly has signed with the Mets, whose offer of a major league contract was enough to tip the balance in their favor instead of toward the Rangers.

RHP Chien-Ming Wang and the Nationals made his deal with them official. To make room, Washington put oft-injured RHP Jordan Zimmermann on the 60-day disabled list. The Blue Jays made a similar move with RHP Jesse Litsch.

Speaking of injuries:

The MRI exam on Cubs LHP Ted Lilly's right knee showed no structural damage, but it's still not clear that he'll be ready in April while he's recovering from shoulder surgery. Given the Cubs' track record on under-reporting or underestimating injuries (see Exhibits A and B, Mark Prior and Kerry Wood), I'd be skeptical of anything the team says that sounds positive.

Rangers LHP Derek Holland injured his right knee during agility drills in this morning's workout, and will undergo an MRI exam Monday. According to Jamey Newberg's "Newberg Report," the injury is not considered serious.

Speaking of the Cubs:

Their shortstop, Ryan Theriot, is the last player going through salary arbitration this year. A victory for management could clinch a victory in this year's series with the players.

In the first seven hearings, the owners won four times -- against Nationals LHP Sean Burnett, who still got $775,000, and RHP Brian Bruney, who also shouldn't complain about $15. million; Astros LHP Wandy Rodriguez, whose $5-million award was almost twice what he made in 2009, and Rays CF B.J. Upton, $3 million (for what?).

The three winning players were Angels C Jeff Mathis ($1.3 million); Brewers RF Corey Hart ($4.8 million -- Really? Bud Selig will have to jack up the price on those clunkers he sells), and Marlins OF Cody Ross ($4.45 million, because chicks dig the long ball and Florida must have low-balled him).

Working it out:

The teams that worked out today for the first time were the Red Sox, Braves, Marlins, Astros and Mets in Florida, and the Diamondbacks in Arizona. Reporting today, and holding their first workouts Sunday, will be the Nationals in Florida and the White Sox, Athletics and Dodgers in Arizona.

Weight watchers:

Adding ammunition for those who insist that players today don't go to spring training to lose weight are two pitchers. Rangers LHP Matt Harrison, a pudgeball last season, has dropped 30 pounds, to 205, and Rockies RHP Aaron Cook is 20 pounds lighter than in 2009, weighing in at 200.

Thursday, February 18, 2010

First reports of actual spring training activity

The biggest news today as pitchers and catchers made their first official appearances on the playing fields for 12 major league teams came out of Goodyear, Ariz.

That's where Reds LHP Aroldis Chapman, a Cuban defector, said he wasn't throwing at top speed during his 35-pitch workout from a mound. Nevertheless, team officials said they were impressed. What would you expect them to say? They're not going to do anything to suggest that they wasted money on Chapman. Before we get too excited, let's see him against real major league batters.

Speaking of getting overly excited, what's with all the people talking about how wonderful the Mariners are? They'd still have to beat the Angels and the emerging Rangers. And now that Seattle's primary acquisition, LHP Cliff Lee, won't throw until next Wednesday, will there be more overreaction saying the Mariners now don't have a chance?

Meanwhile, don't put too much stock in a pitcher who usually is one of our favorites, Cubs LHP Ted Lilly. He's recovering from arthroscopic surgery on his shoulder, and now may need an MRI exam on his right knee.

Lilly is likely to do better than Nationals LHP Ross Detwiler, who will be out three months following surgery to repair a torn labrum in his right hip.

Pitchers and catchers from the teams that reported today -- with the exception of the Mets, who won't start workouts until Saturday -- will be on the field Friday for the first time.

Another six teams will have their pitchers and catchers reporting Friday.

And on March 2, we'll hear the first exhibition shouts of "Play ball!"

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Pitchers and catchers reporting

Today arrived what some baseball fans consider the real first day of spring.

The first pitchers and catchers reported to spring training.

Twelve teams required their batteries to be in camp: the Cubs, Reds, Rockies, Royals, Angels, Giants and Mariners in Arizona; the Orioles, Yankees, Phillies, Pirates and Cardinals in Florida.

No official workouts were held. Almost every team has its players report the day before the first workout -- to undergo physicals, get equipment in order, check in to team hotels or dorms, kind of first-day-of-school stuff. For some reason, the Mets report two days before their first workout.

Pitchers and catchers will continue to report to other teams every day until Monday, Feb. 22. That's when the Indians will be the last to require players to report before pitching and catching in cages.

Monday also will be the first day for 12 teams' other position players to report to spring training. For the most part, those are the same teams that had pitchers and catchers show up today.

Most teams (18) have the two groups report five days apart, but the time difference is as few as three days or as many as eight. The biggest difference is with the Rockies, who always seem to need pitching help but always have plenty of hitters.

Some pitchers may report on time, but not be ready to pitch. For example, Red Sox RHP Daisuke Matsuzaka's throwing will be delayed because he has a sore upper back. Royals RHP Zack Greinke will miss some time after having two teeth pulled. Orioles RHP Brad Bergesen expects to be out 10 days because of a shoulder injury suffered in December. However, Bergesen's teammate, RHP Koji Uehara, recovering from a torn flexor tendon in his elbow, arrived early. He threw off a mound Tuesday and said he felt no pain.

The Braves don't expect RHP Jair Jurrjens to pitch for a while. He underwent an MRI exam on his shoulder, and was encouraged by the results.

In the equivalent of last-minute Christmas shopping, teams have been adding free agents and waiver claims to their roster.

The Nnationals, who had some success with cattle-call spring trainings while they were in Montreal (RHP Dennis Martinez was their best reclamation project, have been one of the most active teams in picking up inexpensive free agents. They're likely to reach a final agreement soon with ex-Yankees RHP Chien Ming-Wang to go with such players as LHP Ron Villone, 2B Adam Kennedy and CF Willy Taveras.

Other signings to watch for are Cs Rod Barajas (Yankees?) and Jose Molina (Rangers?), 1B/3B Russell Branyan (Indians?) and OF Johnny Damon (White Sox or Tigers?).

Sunday, February 14, 2010

A baseball valentine

Do you love baseball?

Nothing wrong with that, as long as you keep it in perspective.

You can't love the game, or any of its players or teams, as much as you love your family. That just wouldn't be right. You could, however, take your family to a ballgame.

Here's a little test on love for the game that I'm giving myself.

Do you (insert name here) take baseball from this day forward; to have and to hold; in financial sickness and in wealth; through hours of rain delays just to get in a complete game and on Dollar Hot Dog nights; played by millionaires or minimum-salary minor leaguers; in steroids or greenies or in natural health; in day/night doubleheaders and in slick 643 double plays; through interminable pitching changes and in tidy Mark Buehrle complete games; by yourself or with your family or friends; forsaking the Yankees, the Red Sox and fair-weather fans for your own team, win or lose; so help you baseball gods?

I do. But get back to me on that steroids thing.

Monday, February 1, 2010

Looking at the Caribbean Series

Here's information from an Email I sent today to the Fantasy Baseball Scout mailing list. If you'd like to be included on the mailing list, you should be able to sign up on the web site, or you could Email me at lary@fantasybaseballscout.com.
It appears that fantasybaseballscout.com will not operate as a pay site this year because we're changing servers and rebuilding the site. But we do expect to have our usual complement of information and insights once the rebuilt site goes online sometime during spring training.

To begin the month when pitchers and catchers report, here is some baseball information for you – and especially warm news for those of you who have been shoveling snow during the past week.
The Caribbean Series begins Tuesday on Margarita Island in Venezuela, with two games on each of the six days through Sunday, Feb. 7.
Tuesday’s schedule: Indios de Mayaguez (Puerto Rico) vs. Leones by Escogido (Dominican Republic) in the afternoon, Leones de Caracas (Venezuela) vs. Naranjeros de Hermosillo (Mexico) in the night game.
The format remains a double round-robin, with the best won-lost record winning the title. Venezuela’s representative won in 2009.
Three of the four league playoffs went the distance, and even Mayaguez’s four games to one victory over Caguas in Puerto Rico needed 11 innings in the fifth and final game. Mayaguez won its first Puerto Rican championship since 2005, defeating Caguas 8-6. Angel Sanchez of the Red Sox organization went 4-for-6 in that game.
Escogido won the best-of-nine Dominican title five games to four over Cibao. Twins LHP Francisco Liriano struck out 10 in five innings in the deciding 5-3 victory.
Caracas’ four-games-to-three victory over Magallanes in the Venezuelan finals was much easier in the deciding game, a 7-2 win.
The Mexican Pacific League’s final game of a tense four-games-to-three series win by Hermosillo over Mazatlan was even tenser. The Naranjeros’ (Orange Growers’) Chris Roberson led off the game with a triple and scored on Vinny Castilla’s sacrifice fly. Hermosillo’s pitching held off defending-champion Mazatlan for a 1-0 victory. The championship was a record 15th for the Naranjeros.
Many of the players who excel in winter ball are veterans, such as Castilla, who will have little or no impact on the major leagues this season. However, there are some intriguing players you might want to watch out for this spring.
Starting pitcher – RHP Luis Mendoza dominated in his native Mexico with a 7-4 record, 2.89 ERA and 82:27 strikeout/walk ratio in 90 1/3 innings. There doesn’t appear to be room for him in the Rangers’ rotation, so he might be available as a fourth or fifth starter for a below-average team.
Closer – The Pirates’ closing situation could be unsettled this year, so watch out for RHP Jean Machi. He is a non-roster invitee to Pittsburgh’s spring training, coming off a league-leading 16 saves in Puerto Rico with a 2-0 record, 1.25 ERA and 27:6 K/W ratio. He did that in 36 innings, so he might not have enough power to be an above-average closer.
Hitters – You may already have heard a lot about Alcides Escobar, expected to be the Brewers’ shortstop this season. He led the Venezuelan League with a .393 average and was third with 16 stolen bases. Also in Venezuela, C Josh Thole’s .381 average earned him a trip to spring training with the Mets this year. Veteran C Robinzon Diaz batted .333 in the Dominican Republic. He’s a free agent of the type almost any team might sign as a backup. Given a chance, Diaz could be more than a $1 catcher.
Need for speed – They don’t come much faster than Padres OF prospect Luis Durango. He stole 12 bases in the Dominican Republic. He can be a leadoff batter and left or possibly center fielder; this winter he batted .293 with a .395 on-base percentage.